{
  "name": "Trump–Netherlands Evidence Index",
  "description": "A bilingual, source-led index separating official records, formal declarations, economic models and observed statistics about Donald Trump and the Netherlands.",
  "publisher": "donaldjtrump.nl editorial team",
  "url": "https://donaldjtrump.nl/onderzoek/",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "reviewed_at": "2026-07-18",
  "scope_note": "The compilation is licensed under CC BY 4.0. Underlying source materials remain subject to their respective terms. Each record states both what a source establishes and what it does not establish.",
  "records": [
    {
      "record_id": "TN-001",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-05-01",
      "topic": "trade",
      "record": "CPB tariff scenarios",
      "record_type": "economic_model",
      "what_it_establishes": "The CPB modelled two tariff scenarios and their possible macroeconomic effects; in one scenario Dutch GDP is around 1% lower by the end of 2026.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "It is not a measurement of later policy or proof that tariffs alone caused a realised outcome.",
      "source_organization": "CPB",
      "source_title": "Importheffingen remmen bbp-groei, lagere dollar drukt inflatie",
      "source_url": "https://www.cpb.nl/importheffingen-remmen-bbp-groei-lagere-dollar-drukt-inflatie",
      "language": "nl"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-002",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-06-24",
      "topic": "visit",
      "record": "Informal NATO leaders' dinner at Huis ten Bosch Palace",
      "record_type": "official_event_record",
      "what_it_establishes": "NATO leaders attended an informal dinner at the invitation of the Dutch King and Queen.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "It does not establish the undisclosed substance of private conversations.",
      "source_organization": "NATO",
      "source_title": "NATO concludes historic Summit in The Hague",
      "source_url": "https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/articles/news/2025/06/27/nato-concludes-historic-summit-in-the-hague",
      "language": "en"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-003",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-06-25",
      "topic": "visit",
      "record": "Royal audience and overnight stay",
      "record_type": "official_event_record",
      "what_it_establishes": "The Dutch Royal House recorded Trump's overnight stay and audience with King Willem-Alexander and Queen Maxima.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "It does not establish political agreements beyond the published record.",
      "source_organization": "Koninklijk Huis",
      "source_title": "Koning ontvangt Amerikaanse president Trump",
      "source_url": "https://www.koninklijkhuis.nl/actueel/nieuws/2025/06/25/koning-ontvangt-amerikaanse-president-trump",
      "language": "nl"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-004",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-06-25",
      "topic": "visit",
      "record": "Trump attends the 2025 NATO Summit",
      "record_type": "official_photo_record",
      "what_it_establishes": "The White House gallery documents Trump's presence and photographed meetings during the summit.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "Photographs do not establish everything said or agreed in private.",
      "source_organization": "White House",
      "source_title": "President Trump attends the 2025 NATO Summit",
      "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-trump-attends-the-2025-nato-summit/",
      "language": "en"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-005",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-06-25",
      "topic": "nato",
      "record": "Public remarks by Trump and NATO Secretary General Rutte",
      "record_type": "official_video",
      "what_it_establishes": "The NATO video records the public remarks made by both participants.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "A public political claim is not independently measured impact.",
      "source_organization": "NATO",
      "source_title": "Remarks by the NATO Secretary General and the President of the United States",
      "source_url": "https://www.nato.int/en/multimedia/multimedia/videos/2025/06/25/remarks-by-the-nato-secretary-general-and-the-president-of-the-united-states",
      "language": "en"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-006",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-06-25",
      "topic": "nato",
      "record": "The Hague Summit Declaration",
      "record_type": "formal_declaration",
      "what_it_establishes": "Allies committed to 5% of GDP by 2035: at least 3.5% for core defence and up to 1.5% for wider security-related investment, with a review in 2029.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "It is not itself a Dutch budget act and does not mean every ally already spent 5% in 2025.",
      "source_organization": "NATO",
      "source_title": "The Hague Summit Declaration",
      "source_url": "https://www.nato.int/en/about-us/official-texts-and-resources/official-texts/2025/06/25/the-hague-summit-declaration",
      "language": "en"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-007",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2025-08-28",
      "topic": "trade",
      "record": "Dutch government explainer on EU-US tariff arrangements",
      "record_type": "dated_policy_explainer",
      "what_it_establishes": "The explainer recorded a 15% rate for most EU goods, listed exceptions and noted the then-current separate 50% steel and aluminium tariff.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "It is a dated snapshot, not a guarantee that every product rate remained unchanged.",
      "source_organization": "Rijksoverheid",
      "source_title": "Handelsafspraken EU-VS: dit betekenen de importheffingen voor ondernemers",
      "source_url": "https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/actueel/weblogs/bzers-wereldwijd/2025/handelsafspraken-eu-vs-importheffingen",
      "language": "nl"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-008",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2026-01-23",
      "topic": "trade",
      "record": "Dutch goods exports to the US in the first ten months of 2025",
      "record_type": "official_statistics",
      "what_it_establishes": "Statistics Netherlands measured EUR 27.5 billion in exports, 4.7% less than a year earlier; the figures were provisional.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "The observed change does not prove one exclusive cause or isolate the effect of tariffs.",
      "source_organization": "CBS",
      "source_title": "Goederenexport naar VS eerste tien maanden van 2025 gekrompen",
      "source_url": "https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2026/04/goederenexport-naar-vs-eerste-tien-maanden-van-2025-gekrompen",
      "language": "nl"
    },
    {
      "record_id": "TN-009",
      "event_or_publication_date": "2026-07-14",
      "topic": "trade",
      "record": "Current US tariffs and unresolved end date",
      "record_type": "dated_policy_explainer",
      "what_it_establishes": "RVO's dated overview records a 10% global tariff from 24 February 2026, pending litigation and no definitive published arrangement for after the stated 24 July end date.",
      "what_it_does_not_establish": "This Dutch explainer is not the underlying US court judgment or tariff instrument and cannot guarantee what will apply after 24 July.",
      "source_organization": "RVO",
      "source_title": "De stand van zaken van de Amerikaanse invoerrechten",
      "source_url": "https://www.rvo.nl/onderwerpen/landen-en-gebieden/verenigde-staten/veranderende-invoerrechten/invoerrechten-vs",
      "language": "nl"
    }
  ]
}
