{
  "version": "2026-07-18.1",
  "asOf": "2026-07-18T12:00:00+02:00",
  "reviewedDate": "2026-07-18",
  "nextCriticalDate": "2026-07-24",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "status": "watch",
  "statusNl": "Wijzigingsmoment nadert",
  "statusEn": "Change point approaching",
  "summaryNl": "De tijdelijke algemene Amerikaanse importtoeslag van 10% is formeel geprogrammeerd tot 24 juli 2026. Op de peildatum was geen definitieve opvolgende algemene regeling gepubliceerd. Productuitzonderingen en sectorale maatregelen kunnen een ander tarief opleveren.",
  "summaryEn": "The temporary general U.S. import surcharge of 10% is formally scheduled through July 24, 2026. At the review date, no definitive successor general measure had been published. Product exclusions and sector measures may produce a different rate.",
  "measures": [
    {
      "id": "section-122-global-surcharge",
      "category": "formal-measure",
      "nameNl": "Tijdelijke algemene importtoeslag",
      "nameEn": "Temporary general import surcharge",
      "scopeNl": "In beginsel artikelen uit alle landen, met expliciete uitzonderingen en samenloopregels.",
      "scopeEn": "Articles from all countries in principle, subject to explicit exclusions and interaction rules.",
      "rateNl": "10% ad valorem",
      "rateEn": "10% ad valorem",
      "effectiveFrom": "2026-02-24",
      "scheduledThrough": "2026-07-24",
      "statusNl": "Formeel van kracht tot het geprogrammeerde eindmoment; RVO vermeldt daarnaast lopende procedures.",
      "statusEn": "Formally in force through the scheduled end point; RVO also records ongoing proceedings.",
      "legalBasis": "Section 122, Trade Act of 1974 — Proclamation 11012",
      "sourcePublisher": "Federal Register",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/02/25/2026-03824/imposing-a-temporary-import-surcharge-to-address-fundamental-international-payments-problems",
      "verificationPublisher": "RVO",
      "verificationUrl": "https://www.rvo.nl/onderwerpen/landen-en-gebieden/verenigde-staten/veranderende-invoerrechten/invoerrechten-vs",
      "evidenceTypeNl": "Formele presidentiële proclamatie",
      "evidenceTypeEn": "Formal presidential proclamation",
      "limitationNl": "Dit is geen productofferte: HTS-code, oorsprong, uitzonderingen, Section 232 en douane-uitvoering blijven beslissend.",
      "limitationEn": "This is not a product quote: HTS classification, origin, exclusions, Section 232 and customs implementation remain decisive."
    },
    {
      "id": "section-232-metals-eu",
      "category": "sector-measure",
      "nameNl": "Sectorale regels voor staal, aluminium en koper",
      "nameEn": "Sector rules for steel, aluminium and copper",
      "scopeNl": "Bepaalde metaalartikelen en afgeleide producten; voor EU-producten gelden product- en oorsprongsafhankelijke Section 232-regels.",
      "scopeEn": "Specified metal articles and derivatives; EU products are subject to product- and origin-dependent Section 232 rules.",
      "rateNl": "productspecifiek; 15%-ondergrens voor genoemde EU-behandeling",
      "rateEn": "product-specific; 15% floor for specified EU treatment",
      "effectiveFrom": "2026-06-08",
      "scheduledThrough": "2027-12-31",
      "statusNl": "Afzonderlijke sectorale maatregel; niet optellen bij de algemene 10% zonder de samenloopregel te controleren.",
      "statusEn": "Separate sector measure; do not add the general 10% without checking the interaction rule.",
      "legalBasis": "Section 232 — presidential proclamation published June 2026",
      "sourcePublisher": "White House",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/further-adjusting-the-tariff-regimes-for-imports-of-aluminum-steel-and-copper-into-the-united-states/",
      "verificationPublisher": "RVO",
      "verificationUrl": "https://www.rvo.nl/onderwerpen/landen-en-gebieden/verenigde-staten/veranderende-invoerrechten/invoerrechten-vs",
      "evidenceTypeNl": "Sectorale presidentiële proclamatie",
      "evidenceTypeEn": "Sector-specific presidential proclamation",
      "limitationNl": "Het genoemde kader geldt niet voor ieder metaalproduct en vervangt geen controle van HTS-code, materiaalinhoud en oorsprong.",
      "limitationEn": "The cited framework does not cover every metal product and does not replace checks of HTS code, material content and origin."
    },
    {
      "id": "eu-us-commitments-implementation",
      "category": "policy-context",
      "nameNl": "EU-verordening over uitvoering en waarborgen",
      "nameEn": "EU implementation and safeguard regulation",
      "scopeNl": "Verordening (EU) 2026/1455 over EU-tariefconcessies, quota en een waarborg bij afwijking van Amerikaanse verplichtingen.",
      "scopeEn": "Regulation (EU) 2026/1455 on EU tariff concessions, quotas and a safeguard if U.S. commitments diverge.",
      "rateNl": "geen zelfstandig Amerikaans producttarief",
      "rateEn": "not a standalone U.S. product rate",
      "effectiveFrom": "2026-06-25",
      "scheduledThrough": null,
      "statusNl": "Van kracht. De tekst noemt expliciet de afloop of vervanging van de tijdelijke Amerikaanse toeslag als mogelijk moment voor EU-waarborgen.",
      "statusEn": "In force. The text explicitly identifies expiry or replacement of the temporary U.S. surcharge as a potential safeguard trigger.",
      "legalBasis": "Regulation (EU) 2026/1455",
      "sourcePublisher": "Official Journal / EUR-Lex",
      "sourceUrl": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32026R1455",
      "verificationPublisher": "RVO",
      "verificationUrl": "https://www.rvo.nl/onderwerpen/landen-en-gebieden/verenigde-staten/veranderende-invoerrechten/invoerrechten-vs",
      "evidenceTypeNl": "Bindende EU-verordening",
      "evidenceTypeEn": "Binding EU regulation",
      "limitationNl": "Een EU-besluit is geen Amerikaanse douaneaanslag en mag niet als zelfstandig producttarief worden geciteerd.",
      "limitationEn": "An EU decision is not a U.S. customs assessment and must not be quoted as a standalone product rate."
    },
    {
      "id": "dutch-export-observation-2025",
      "category": "observed-data",
      "nameNl": "Gemeten Nederlandse goederenexport naar de VS",
      "nameEn": "Observed Dutch goods exports to the United States",
      "scopeNl": "Nederlandse goederenexport in de eerste tien maanden van 2025.",
      "scopeEn": "Dutch goods exports in the first ten months of 2025.",
      "rateNl": "€27,5 mld.; −4,7% jaar-op-jaar",
      "rateEn": "€27.5bn; −4.7% year on year",
      "effectiveFrom": "2025-01-01",
      "scheduledThrough": "2025-10-31",
      "statusNl": "CBS-waarneming; geen juridisch tarief en geen bewijs van één exclusieve oorzaak.",
      "statusEn": "Statistics Netherlands observation; neither a legal tariff nor proof of one exclusive cause.",
      "legalBasis": "Official statistics",
      "sourcePublisher": "CBS",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2026/04/goederenexport-naar-vs-eerste-tien-maanden-van-2025-gekrompen",
      "verificationPublisher": "CBS English",
      "verificationUrl": "https://www.cbs.nl/en-gb/news/2026/15/exports-to-taiwan-up-exports-to-us-and-china-down",
      "evidenceTypeNl": "Gemeten statistiek",
      "evidenceTypeEn": "Observed statistics",
      "limitationNl": "De reeks is geen causale schatting van het effect van één tariefmaatregel.",
      "limitationEn": "The series is not a causal estimate of the effect of one tariff measure."
    }
  ],
  "watchSources": [
    {
      "id": "federal-register-proclamation-11012",
      "publisher": "Federal Register",
      "role": "formal-measure",
      "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2026/02/25/2026-03824.html",
      "requiredPhrases": [
        "10 percent ad valorem",
        "July 24, 2026"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "white-house-proclamation-11012",
      "publisher": "White House",
      "role": "presidential-publication",
      "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/02/imposing-a-temporary-import-surcharge-to-address-fundamental-international-payments-problems/",
      "requiredPhrases": [
        "10 percent ad valorem",
        "July 24, 2026"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "rvo-current-tariffs",
      "publisher": "RVO",
      "role": "dated-dutch-guidance",
      "url": "https://www.rvo.nl/onderwerpen/landen-en-gebieden/verenigde-staten/veranderende-invoerrechten/invoerrechten-vs",
      "requiredPhrases": [
        "24 juli 2026",
        "nog geen definitieve regeling"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "white-house-metals-2026",
      "publisher": "White House",
      "role": "sector-measure",
      "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/further-adjusting-the-tariff-regimes-for-imports-of-aluminum-steel-and-copper-into-the-united-states/",
      "requiredPhrases": [
        "December 31, 2027",
        "member nation of the European Union"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "eur-lex-regulation-2026-1455",
      "publisher": "Official Journal / EUR-Lex",
      "role": "eu-implementation",
      "url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32026R1455",
      "requiredPhrases": [
        "expiry or replacement of the temporary import surcharge",
        "24 February 2026"
      ]
    }
  ]
}
